Population Growth 2040-2050

County population growth 2040-2050

Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2021 and Population Projections, Vintage 2022

County July 1, 2040 Projection July 1, 2050 Projection Numeric Percent Net Migration Natural Increase Births Deaths
Alamance 211,669 230,664 18,995 9 21,981 -2,986 25,755 28,741
Alexander 36,738 36,755 17 0 1,584 -1,567 4,180 5,747
Alleghany 11,339 11,453 114 1 484 -370 1,377 1,747
Anson 21,103 21,092 -11 -0.1 910 -921 2,278 3,199
Ashe 26,780 26,840 60 0.2 1,981 -1,921 2,558 4,479
Avery 17,950 17,952 2 0 1,301 -1,299 1,473 2,772
Beaufort 41,627 40,088 -1,539 -3.7 1,005 -2,544 4,424 6,968
Bertie 13,572 11,754 -1,818 -13.4 -1,215 -603 1,211 1,814
Bladen 28,850 29,195 345 1.2 567 -222 3,691 3,913
Brunswick 225,987 260,121 34,134 15.1 62,012 -27,878 15,893 43,771
Buncombe 326,666 355,726 29,060 8.9 46,883 -17,823 28,208 46,031
Burke 87,609 87,447 -162 -0.2 3,164 -3,326 9,555 12,881
Cabarrus 321,726 369,446 47,720 14.8 41,352 6,368 42,044 35,676
Caldwell 81,260 81,259 -1 0 4,231 -4,232 8,294 12,526
Camden 12,963 13,232 269 2.1 823 -554 1,105 1,659
Carteret 76,317 80,381 4,064 5.3 11,217 -7,153 5,628 12,781
Caswell 20,624 19,684 -940 -4.6 728 -1,668 1,842 3,510
Catawba 181,761 192,303 10,542 5.8 16,764 -6,222 20,814 27,036
Chatham 102,379 115,545 13,166 12.9 20,557 -7,391 9,702 17,093
Cherokee 32,982 35,098 2,116 6.4 5,327 -3,211 2,732 5,943
Chowan 13,754 13,771 17 0.1 506 -489 1,524 2,013
Clay 13,581 14,771 1,190 8.8 2,310 -1,120 1,167 2,287
Cleveland 107,178 107,458 280 0.3 3,667 -3,387 12,668 16,055
Columbus 45,878 43,549 -2,329 -5.1 -1,234 -1,095 5,945 7,040
Craven 102,624 102,639 15 0 -2,965 2,980 14,938 11,958
Cumberland 350,017 350,047 30 0 -13,212 13,242 52,773 39,531
Currituck 54,369 67,404 13,035 24 14,052 -1,017 5,985 7,002
Dare 46,142 50,700 4,558 9.9 7,137 -2,579 4,285 6,864
Davidson 198,719 213,330 14,611 7.4 21,151 -6,540 22,585 29,125
Davie 52,169 56,841 4,672 9 7,585 -2,913 5,249 8,162
Duplin 48,811 48,822 11 0 -3,189 3,200 8,627 5,427
Durham 415,735 461,932 46,197 11.1 28,513 17,684 56,501 38,817
Edgecombe 37,241 31,430 -5,811 -15.6 -3,831 -1,980 4,716 6,696
Forsyth 443,136 477,496 34,360 7.8 32,343 2,017 56,721 54,704
Franklin 115,253 138,523 23,270 20.2 26,155 -2,885 13,536 16,421
Gaston 273,091 292,357 19,266 7.1 23,385 -4,119 32,988 37,107
Gates 10,003 9,999 -4 0 809 -813 729 1,542
Graham 8,117 8,121 4 0 176 -172 979 1,151
Granville 75,153 82,432 7,279 9.7 10,695 -3,416 7,636 11,052
Greene 20,120 20,120 - 0 279 -279 2,700 2,979
Guilford 628,007 680,324 52,317 8.3 56,827 -4,510 71,367 75,877
Halifax 40,110 35,845 -4,265 -10.6 -2,234 -2,031 4,774 6,805
Harnett 181,670 204,408 22,738 12.5 17,204 5,534 25,940 20,406
Haywood 69,985 73,927 3,942 5.6 8,467 -4,525 6,763 11,288
Henderson 138,815 151,797 12,982 9.4 21,827 -8,845 13,831 22,676
Hertford 16,939 15,513 -1,426 -8.4 -777 -649 1,680 2,329
Hoke 73,633 83,423 9,790 13.3 4,680 5,110 12,910 7,800
Hyde 3,617 3,156 -461 -12.7 -203 -258 377 635
Iredell 275,727 319,925 44,198 16 50,633 -6,435 30,817 37,252
Jackson 49,430 53,019 3,589 7.3 5,080 -1,491 4,634 6,125
Johnston 331,491 380,597 49,106 14.8 45,685 3,421 43,396 39,975
Jones 9,192 9,192 - 0 625 -625 864 1,489
Lee 78,319 85,713 7,394 9.4 6,025 1,369 11,227 9,858
Lenoir 49,587 46,813 -2,774 -5.6 -1,999 -775 6,799 7,574
Lincoln 114,153 126,878 12,725 11.1 18,075 -5,350 12,044 17,394
Macon 43,116 46,154 3,038 7 5,212 -2,174 4,915 7,089
Madison 22,885 23,640 755 3.3 2,102 -1,347 2,199 3,546
Martin 18,139 16,286 -1,853 -10.2 -895 -958 2,236 3,194
McDowell 44,774 44,774 - 0 2,109 -2,109 4,705 6,814
Mecklenburg 1,501,251 1,699,526 198,275 13.2 154,045 44,230 191,104 146,874
Mitchell 14,211 13,860 -351 -2.5 390 -741 1,469 2,210
Montgomery 25,737 25,734 -3 0 156 -159 3,411 3,570
Moore 146,972 170,097 23,125 15.7 25,102 -1,977 19,752 21,729
Nash 95,341 95,338 -3 0 3,688 -3,691 11,163 14,854
New Hanover 289,182 319,147 29,965 10.4 35,984 -6,019 28,470 34,489
Northampton 14,145 12,552 -1,593 -11.3 -1,333 -260 1,397 1,657
Onslow 253,077 277,197 24,120 9.5 -13,662 37,782 56,958 19,176
Orange 175,508 189,448 13,940 7.9 19,361 -5,421 13,210 18,631
Pamlico 11,662 11,310 -352 -3 949 -1,301 785 2,086
Pasquotank 41,460 41,479 19 0 462 -443 4,986 5,429
Pender 85,113 95,336 10,223 12 11,326 -1,103 10,075 11,178
Perquimans 14,162 14,174 12 0.1 982 -970 1,252 2,222
Person 40,489 40,631 142 0.4 1,354 -1,212 4,762 5,974
Pitt 197,318 219,339 22,021 11.2 15,080 6,941 28,912 21,971
Polk 19,657 19,666 9 0 2,055 -2,046 1,431 3,477
Randolph 157,940 164,684 6,744 4.3 8,959 -2,215 20,156 22,371
Richmond 38,874 36,952 -1,922 -4.9 -1,373 -549 5,192 5,741
Robeson 120,492 120,890 398 0.3 709 -311 17,181 17,492
Rockingham 92,040 92,040 - 0 6,231 -6,231 8,726 14,957
Rowan 164,172 172,453 8,281 5 10,570 -2,289 21,368 23,657
Rutherford 67,230 68,856 1,626 2.4 5,722 -4,096 6,654 10,750
Sampson 58,826 58,821 -5 0 -1,330 1,325 9,288 7,963
Scotland 30,818 29,543 -1,275 -4.1 -698 -577 4,073 4,650
Stanly 66,309 68,322 2,013 3 4,281 -2,268 7,682 9,950
Stokes 45,848 45,860 12 0 4,341 -4,329 3,809 8,138
Surry 70,507 70,051 -456 -0.6 602 -1,058 9,285 10,343
Swain 14,974 15,293 319 2.1 715 -396 1,832 2,228
Transylvania 36,393 38,030 1,637 4.5 4,509 -2,872 2,962 5,834
Tyrrell 2,661 2,409 -252 -9.5 -167 -85 329 414
Union 355,641 419,382 63,741 17.9 64,724 -983 39,321 40,304
Vance 41,177 41,171 -6 0 -133 127 5,736 5,609
Wake 1,625,997 1,885,406 259,409 16 237,835 21,574 178,801 157,227
Warren 19,033 19,082 49 0.3 1,688 -1,639 1,509 3,148
Washington 8,228 7,598 -630 -7.7 -256 -374 1,072 1,446
Watauga 60,737 64,614 3,877 6.4 5,822 -1,945 3,891 5,836
Wayne 116,983 116,965 -18 0 -2,220 2,202 16,924 14,722
Wilkes 64,527 65,040 513 0.8 2,893 -2,380 7,471 9,851
Wilson 77,288 80,365 3,077 4 3,155 -78 10,297 10,375
Yadkin 36,993 36,991 -2 0 1,201 -1,203 4,421 5,624
Yancey 18,165 18,006 -159 -0.9 604 -763 2,011 2,774
State 12,817,720 14,012,819 1,195,099 9.3 1,248,753 -53,654 1,535,625 1,589,279