Population Growth 2040-2050
County population growth 2040-2050
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2023 and Population Projections, Vintage 2024
| County | July 2040 Projected Population | July 2050 Projected Population | Numeric Change 2040-50 | Percent Change 2040-50 | Births 2040-50 | Deaths 2040-50 | Natural Increase 2040-50 | Net Migration 2040-50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamance | 215,665 | 235,937 | 20,272 | 9.4 | 23,654 | 28,447 | -4,793 | 25,065 |
| Alexander | 36,901 | 36,906 | 5 | 0 | 3,425 | 5,833 | -2,408 | 2,413 |
| Alleghany | 11,730 | 11,729 | -1 | 0 | 1,049 | 2,007 | -958 | 957 |
| Anson | 21,023 | 20,985 | -38 | -0.2 | 2,295 | 3,348 | -1053 | 1,015 |
| Ashe | 26,578 | 26,577 | -1 | 0 | 2,098 | 4,982 | -2,884 | 2,883 |
| Avery | 17,557 | 17,558 | 1 | 0 | 1,141 | 2,805 | -1,664 | 1,665 |
| Beaufort | 43,819 | 43,820 | 1 | 0 | 4,683 | 7,219 | -2,536 | 2,537 |
| Bertie | 15,706 | 15,623 | -83 | -0.5 | 1,244 | 2,712 | -1,468 | 1,385 |
| Bladen | 35,281 | 39,264 | 3,983 | 11.3 | 4,671 | 5,447 | -776 | 4,759 |
| Brunswick | 239,871 | 274,760 | 34,889 | 14.5 | 12,606 | 62,756 | -50,150 | 85,039 |
| Buncombe | 327,812 | 357,675 | 29,863 | 9.1 | 24,716 | 47,749 | -23,033 | 52,896 |
| Burke | 92,044 | 92,049 | 5 | 0 | 7,938 | 14,531 | -6,593 | 6,598 |
| Cabarrus | 323,521 | 371,319 | 47,798 | 14.8 | 38,766 | 34,874 | 3,892 | 43,906 |
| Caldwell | 83,255 | 83,258 | 3 | 0 | 7,631 | 13,462 | -5,831 | 5,834 |
| Camden | 12,470 | 13,783 | 1,313 | 10.5 | 1,150 | 1,756 | -606 | 1,919 |
| Carteret | 78,322 | 82,950 | 4,628 | 5.9 | 5,126 | 16,071 | -10,945 | 15,573 |
| Caswell | 22,461 | 22,461 | 0 | 0 | 1,927 | 3,849 | -1,922 | 1,922 |
| Catawba | 197,826 | 216,429 | 18,603 | 9.4 | 20,766 | 27,403 | -6,637 | 25,240 |
| Chatham | 104,594 | 118,238 | 13,644 | 13 | 9,274 | 16,766 | -7,492 | 21,136 |
| Cherokee | 33,605 | 35,909 | 2,304 | 6.9 | 2,531 | 7,267 | -4,736 | 7,040 |
| Chowan | 13,757 | 13,758 | 1 | 0 | 1,474 | 2,245 | -771 | 772 |
| Clay | 14,227 | 15,610 | 1,383 | 9.7 | 1,229 | 2,391 | -1162 | 2,545 |
| Cleveland | 111,365 | 117,757 | 6,392 | 5.7 | 12,542 | 17,035 | -4,493 | 10,885 |
| Columbus | 52,524 | 53,014 | 490 | 0.9 | 5,526 | 8,558 | -3,032 | 3,522 |
| Craven | 103,336 | 103,335 | -1 | 0 | 12,240 | 13,761 | -1521 | 1,520 |
| Cumberland | 337,972 | 337,971 | -1 | 0 | 42,144 | 37,762 | 4,382 | -4,383 |
| Currituck | 43,736 | 50,982 | 7,246 | 16.6 | 4,996 | 6,069 | -1073 | 8,319 |
| Dare | 44,583 | 51,149 | 6,566 | 14.7 | 3,705 | 8,197 | -4,492 | 11,058 |
| Davidson | 201,945 | 215,494 | 13,549 | 6.7 | 22,838 | 29,252 | -6,414 | 19,963 |
| Davie | 53,808 | 59,431 | 5,623 | 10.5 | 5,501 | 8,027 | -2,526 | 8,149 |
| Duplin | 59,181 | 65,068 | 5,887 | 9.9 | 9,141 | 7,728 | 1,413 | 4,474 |
| Durham | 410,039 | 454,842 | 44,803 | 10.9 | 45,774 | 45,520 | 254 | 44,549 |
| Edgecombe | 48,730 | 48,732 | 2 | 0 | 6,118 | 7,350 | -1,232 | 1,234 |
| Forsyth | 450,646 | 486,746 | 36,100 | 8 | 48,966 | 58,163 | -9,197 | 45,297 |
| Franklin | 112,525 | 128,298 | 15,773 | 14 | 12,706 | 15,955 | -3249 | 19,022 |
| Gaston | 274,362 | 281,776 | 7,414 | 2.7 | 30,636 | 37,156 | -6,520 | 13,934 |
| Gates | 10,292 | 10,293 | 1 | 0 | 908 | 1,742 | -834 | 835 |
| Graham | 8,087 | 8,090 | 3 | 0 | 867 | 1,266 | -399 | 402 |
| Granville | 73,991 | 81,486 | 7,495 | 10.1 | 7,976 | 10,010 | -2034 | 9,529 |
| Greene | 20,146 | 20,146 | 0 | 0 | 1,684 | 3,064 | -1380 | 1,380 |
| Guilford | 640,864 | 691,150 | 50,286 | 7.8 | 69,694 | 74,808 | -5,114 | 55,400 |
| Halifax | 40,304 | 36,700 | -3,604 | -8.9 | 4,433 | 6,656 | -2,223 | -1,381 |
| Harnett | 181,578 | 204,363 | 22,785 | 12.5 | 23,262 | 21,445 | 1,817 | 20,968 |
| Haywood | 71,227 | 75,507 | 4,280 | 6 | 5,720 | 12,463 | -6,743 | 11,023 |
| Henderson | 144,579 | 158,592 | 14,013 | 9.7 | 12,604 | 24,684 | -12,080 | 26,093 |
| Hertford | 16,063 | 14,603 | -1,460 | -9.1 | 1,350 | 2,465 | -1,115 | -345 |
| Hoke | 68,776 | 77,548 | 8,772 | 12.8 | 10,458 | 8,080 | 2,378 | 6,394 |
| Hyde | 3,819 | 3,303 | -516 | -13.5 | 289 | 712 | -423 | -93 |
| Iredell | 264,677 | 300,889 | 36,212 | 13.7 | 28,210 | 35,798 | -7588 | 43,800 |
| Jackson | 50,744 | 54,551 | 3,807 | 7.5 | 4,229 | 6,953 | -2,724 | 6,531 |
| Johnston | 348,083 | 397,896 | 49,813 | 14.3 | 44,496 | 41,664 | 2,832 | 46,981 |
| Jones | 8,729 | 8,331 | -398 | -4.6 | 864 | 1,527 | -663 | 265 |
| Lee | 83,961 | 92,627 | 8,666 | 10.3 | 9,224 | 11,656 | -2432 | 11,098 |
| Lenoir | 54,032 | 54,031 | -1 | 0 | 7,297 | 8,095 | -798 | 797 |
| Lincoln | 123,549 | 138,499 | 14,950 | 12.1 | 12,468 | 18,890 | -6,422 | 21,372 |
| Macon | 44,310 | 47,934 | 3,624 | 8.2 | 3,654 | 8,267 | -4,613 | 8,237 |
| Madison | 23,229 | 24,093 | 864 | 3.7 | 2,184 | 3,587 | -1,403 | 2,267 |
| Martin | 18,021 | 16,163 | -1,858 | -10.3 | 1,810 | 3,168 | -1,358 | -500 |
| McDowell | 44,817 | 44,816 | -1 | 0 | 3,818 | 7,055 | -3,237 | 3,236 |
| Mecklenburg | 1,486,855 | 1,680,076 | 193,221 | 13 | 178,355 | 144,806 | 33,549 | 159,672 |
| Mitchell | 14,031 | 13,627 | -404 | -2.9 | 1,189 | 2,457 | -1,268 | 864 |
| Montgomery | 26,195 | 26,195 | 0 | 0 | 2,654 | 3,983 | -1,329 | 1,329 |
| Moore | 148,540 | 172,334 | 23,794 | 16 | 17,654 | 20,672 | -3,018 | 26,812 |
| Nash | 102,907 | 103,286 | 379 | 0.4 | 11,502 | 15,184 | -3,682 | 4,061 |
| New Hanover | 295,596 | 328,626 | 33,030 | 11.2 | 26,079 | 42,165 | -16,086 | 49,116 |
| Northampton | 15,676 | 15,642 | -34 | -0.2 | 1,595 | 2,865 | -1,270 | 1,236 |
| Onslow | 255,825 | 280,753 | 24,928 | 9.7 | 43,759 | 20,992 | 22,767 | 2,161 |
| Orange | 175,896 | 190,593 | 14,697 | 8.4 | 13,444 | 17,884 | -4,440 | 19,137 |
| Pamlico | 12,918 | 12,919 | 1 | 0 | 944 | 2,428 | -1,484 | 1,485 |
| Pasquotank | 41,338 | 41,337 | -1 | 0 | 4,685 | 5,931 | -1246 | 1,245 |
| Pender | 86,921 | 98,526 | 11,605 | 13.4 | 10,059 | 12,617 | -2,558 | 14,163 |
| Perquimans | 14,100 | 14,135 | 35 | 0.2 | 1,215 | 2,276 | -1061 | 1,096 |
| Person | 42,411 | 44,090 | 1,679 | 4 | 4,504 | 6,540 | -2,036 | 3,715 |
| Pitt | 208,982 | 229,923 | 20,941 | 10 | 25,806 | 23,662 | 2,144 | 18,797 |
| Polk | 19,817 | 19,818 | 1 | 0 | 1,396 | 3,531 | -2,135 | 2,136 |
| Randolph | 160,079 | 167,482 | 7,403 | 4.6 | 18,022 | 23,366 | -5,344 | 12,747 |
| Richmond | 39,830 | 39,706 | -124 | -0.3 | 4,716 | 6,003 | -1,287 | 1,163 |
| Robeson | 123,424 | 132,459 | 9,035 | 7.3 | 18,621 | 17,362 | 1,259 | 7,776 |
| Rockingham | 92,417 | 92,416 | -1 | 0 | 9,392 | 15,035 | -5,643 | 5,642 |
| Rowan | 168,331 | 178,036 | 9,705 | 5.8 | 17,217 | 25,100 | -7,883 | 17,588 |
| Rutherford | 66,063 | 66,066 | 3 | 0 | 6,824 | 10,526 | -3,702 | 3,705 |
| Sampson | 62,331 | 62,364 | 33 | 0.1 | 7,621 | 8,729 | -1108 | 1,141 |
| Scotland | 30,066 | 28,007 | -2,059 | -6.8 | 3,100 | 4,329 | -1,229 | -830 |
| Stanly | 70,007 | 72,952 | 2,945 | 4.2 | 7,464 | 10,042 | -2,578 | 5,523 |
| Stokes | 46,432 | 46,438 | 6 | 0 | 3,849 | 7,720 | -3,871 | 3,877 |
| Surry | 71,775 | 71,773 | -2 | 0 | 8,023 | 11,058 | -3,035 | 3,033 |
| Swain | 13,478 | 13,468 | -10 | -0.1 | 1,593 | 2,167 | -574 | 564 |
| Transylvania | 34,285 | 34,313 | 28 | 0.1 | 2,322 | 6,096 | -3,774 | 3,802 |
| Tyrrell | 3,480 | 3,479 | -1 | 0 | 566 | 513 | 53 | -54 |
| Union | 366,971 | 428,408 | 61,437 | 16.7 | 42,717 | 37,290 | 5,427 | 56,010 |
| Vance | 41,221 | 41,219 | -2 | 0 | 5,704 | 5,804 | -100 | 98 |
| Wake | 1,603,182 | 1,848,178 | 244,996 | 15.3 | 160,517 | 155,124 | 5,393 | 239,603 |
| Warren | 18,804 | 18,805 | 1 | 0 | 1,776 | 3,228 | -1,452 | 1,453 |
| Washington | 8,882 | 7,861 | -1,021 | -11.5 | 910 | 1,589 | -679 | -342 |
| Watauga | 55,158 | 55,159 | 1 | 0 | 2,847 | 6,391 | -3,544 | 3,545 |
| Wayne | 120,529 | 120,533 | 4 | 0 | 15,460 | 15,593 | -133 | 137 |
| Wilkes | 68,547 | 70,243 | 1,696 | 2.5 | 7,214 | 10,633 | -3,419 | 5,115 |
| Wilson | 79,352 | 79,356 | 4 | 0 | 8,728 | 11,347 | -2,619 | 2,623 |
| Yadkin | 37,723 | 37,723 | 0 | 0 | 3,937 | 5,886 | -1,949 | 1,949 |
| Yancey | 19,050 | 19,358 | 308 | 1.6 | 1,640 | 3,386 | -1,746 | 2,054 |
| State | 12,966,080 | 14,170,486 | 1,204,406 | 9.3 | 1,405,349 | 1,660,819 | -255,470 | 1,459,876 |
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This page was last modified on 01/16/2025