Population Growth 2030-2040

County population growth 2030-2040

Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2021 and Population Projections, Vintage 2022

County July 1, 2030 Projection July 1, 2040 Projection Numeric Percent Net Migration Natural Increase Births Deaths
Alamance 192,672 211,669 18,997 9.9 20,202 -1,205 23,786 24,991
Alexander 36,722 36,738 16 0 1,396 -1,380 4,164 5,544
Alleghany 11,222 11,339 117 1 557 -440 1,310 1,750
Anson 21,185 21,103 -82 -0.4 723 -805 2,377 3,182
Ashe 26,719 26,780 61 0.2 1,901 -1,840 2,546 4,386
Avery 17,952 17,950 -2 0 1,208 -1,210 1,421 2,631
Beaufort 43,165 41,627 -1,538 -3.6 1,078 -2,616 4,631 7,247
Bertie 15,386 13,572 -1,814 -11.8 -1,181 -633 1,411 2,044
Bladen 28,708 28,850 142 0.5 433 -291 3,686 3,977
Brunswick 190,301 225,987 35,686 18.8 55,860 -20,174 14,493 34,667
Buncombe 297,608 326,666 29,058 9.8 42,211 -13,153 26,680 39,833
Burke 87,754 87,609 -145 -0.2 3,061 -3,206 9,458 12,664
Cabarrus 274,023 321,726 47,703 17.4 38,471 9,232 37,730 28,498
Caldwell 81,250 81,260 10 0 3,529 -3,519 8,636 12,155
Camden 12,252 12,963 711 5.8 982 -271 1,159 1,430
Carteret 72,250 76,317 4,067 5.6 10,037 -5,970 5,703 11,673
Caswell 21,572 20,624 -948 -4.4 597 -1,545 1,966 3,511
Catawba 171,221 181,761 10,540 6.2 15,021 -4,481 20,161 24,642
Chatham 89,167 102,379 13,212 14.8 18,042 -4,830 9,022 13,852
Cherokee 30,867 32,982 2,115 6.9 4,810 -2,695 2,767 5,462
Chowan 13,735 13,754 19 0.1 545 -526 1,586 2,112
Clay 12,389 13,581 1,192 9.6 2,236 -1,044 1,094 2,138
Cleveland 105,879 107,178 1,299 1.2 4,669 -3,370 12,676 16,046
Columbus 48,209 45,878 -2,331 -4.8 -952 -1,379 6,062 7,441
Craven 102,518 102,624 106 0.1 -2,527 2,633 14,845 12,212
Cumberland 349,450 350,017 567 0.2 -12,782 13,349 49,994 36,645
Currituck 41,335 54,369 13,034 31.5 13,390 -356 4,716 5,072
Dare 41,583 46,142 4,559 11 6,372 -1,813 4,114 5,927
Davidson 184,106 198,719 14,613 7.9 19,266 -4,653 21,422 26,075
Davie 47,495 52,169 4,674 9.8 6,773 -2,099 4,962 7,061
Duplin 48,789 48,811 22 0 -3,295 3,317 8,695 5,378
Durham 369,536 415,735 46,199 12.5 27,724 18,475 51,169 32,694
Edgecombe 43,055 37,241 -5,814 -13.5 -3,706 -2,108 5,261 7,369
Forsyth 409,296 443,136 33,840 8.3 31,395 2,445 51,124 48,679
Franklin 91,985 115,253 23,268 25.3 24,376 -1,108 11,369 12,477
Gaston 253,731 273,091 19,360 7.6 21,714 -2,354 31,100 33,454
Gates 10,047 10,003 -44 -0.4 685 -729 745 1,474
Graham 8,105 8,117 12 0.1 218 -206 998 1,204
Granville 67,873 75,153 7,280 10.7 9,341 -2,061 7,117 9,178
Greene 20,120 20,120 - 0 275 -275 2,496 2,771
Guilford 576,697 628,007 51,310 8.9 50,994 316 66,605 66,289
Halifax 44,375 40,110 -4,265 -9.6 -2,053 -2,212 5,105 7,317
Harnett 158,799 181,670 22,871 14.4 15,937 6,934 23,863 16,929
Haywood 66,044 69,985 3,941 6 8,130 -4,189 6,409 10,598
Henderson 125,945 138,815 12,870 10.2 19,645 -6,775 13,298 20,073
Hertford 18,366 16,939 -1,427 -7.8 -523 -904 1,684 2,588
Hoke 63,805 73,633 9,828 15.4 4,128 5,700 12,021 6,321
Hyde 4,120 3,617 -503 -12.2 -236 -267 400 667
Iredell 231,528 275,727 44,199 19.1 45,997 -1,798 27,761 29,559
Jackson 45,843 49,430 3,587 7.8 5,040 -1,453 4,268 5,721
Johnston 282,334 331,491 49,157 17.4 41,178 7,979 39,172 31,193
Jones 9,191 9,192 1 0 555 -554 920 1,474
Lee 70,925 78,319 7,394 10.4 5,830 1,564 10,238 8,674
Lenoir 52,357 49,587 -2,770 -5.3 -1,651 -1,119 6,874 7,993
Lincoln 101,227 114,153 12,926 12.8 16,261 -3,335 11,167 14,502
Macon 40,081 43,116 3,035 7.6 5,352 -2,317 4,335 6,652
Madison 22,126 22,885 759 3.4 2,020 -1,261 2,151 3,412
Martin 19,995 18,139 -1,856 -9.3 -633 -1,223 2,317 3,540
McDowell 44,774 44,774 - 0 1,759 -1,759 4,795 6,554
Mecklenburg 1,303,123 1,501,251 198,128 15.2 140,580 57,548 172,719 115,171
Mitchell 14,580 14,211 -369 -2.5 534 -903 1,446 2,349
Montgomery 25,737 25,737 - 0 157 -157 3,522 3,679
Moore 123,613 146,972 23,359 18.9 24,456 -1,097 16,763 17,860
Nash 95,361 95,341 -20 0 2,780 -2,800 11,399 14,199
New Hanover 259,215 289,182 29,967 11.6 33,147 -3,180 26,824 30,004
Northampton 15,739 14,145 -1,594 -10.1 -1,165 -429 1,547 1,976
Onslow 228,959 253,077 24,118 10.5 -9,636 33,754 51,022 17,268
Orange 161,272 175,508 14,236 8.8 16,487 -2,251 12,932 15,183
Pamlico 12,016 11,662 -354 -2.9 926 -1,280 868 2,148
Pasquotank 41,324 41,460 136 0.3 340 -204 5,073 5,277
Pender 74,886 85,113 10,227 13.7 10,702 -475 8,973 9,448
Perquimans 14,064 14,162 98 0.7 1,062 -964 1,264 2,228
Person 40,156 40,489 333 0.8 1,452 -1,119 4,690 5,809
Pitt 178,262 197,318 19,056 10.7 13,134 5,922 24,891 18,969
Polk 19,637 19,657 20 0.1 1,919 -1,899 1,491 3,390
Randolph 151,192 157,940 6,748 4.5 8,213 -1,465 19,351 20,816
Richmond 40,794 38,874 -1,920 -4.7 -1,166 -754 5,336 6,090
Robeson 119,335 120,492 1,157 1 378 779 17,889 17,110
Rockingham 92,040 92,040 - 0 4,908 -4,908 9,393 14,301
Rowan 155,790 164,172 8,382 5.4 10,565 -2,183 19,767 21,950
Rutherford 65,552 67,230 1,678 2.6 4,715 -3,037 7,012 10,049
Sampson 58,862 58,826 -36 -0.1 -2,082 2,046 9,979 7,933
Scotland 32,093 30,818 -1,275 -4 -646 -629 4,194 4,823
Stanly 64,296 66,309 2,013 3.1 3,968 -1,955 7,402 9,357
Stokes 45,726 45,848 122 0.3 3,740 -3,618 3,960 7,578
Surry 70,964 70,507 -457 -0.6 992 -1,449 8,970 10,419
Swain 14,649 14,974 325 2.2 699 -374 1,863 2,237
Transylvania 34,755 36,393 1,638 4.7 4,335 -2,697 2,909 5,606
Tyrrell 2,942 2,661 -281 -9.6 -180 -101 334 435
Union 292,658 355,641 62,983 21.5 57,300 5,683 36,095 30,412
Vance 41,266 41,177 -89 -0.2 -320 231 5,939 5,708
Wake 1,366,607 1,625,997 259,390 19 211,453 47,937 166,097 118,160
Warren 18,974 19,033 59 0.3 1,473 -1,414 1,579 2,993
Washington 9,332 8,228 -1,104 -11.8 -597 -507 1,158 1,665
Watauga 57,018 60,737 3,719 6.5 5,553 -1,834 3,587 5,421
Wayne 117,098 116,983 -115 -0.1 -2,380 2,265 16,825 14,560
Wilkes 64,975 64,527 -448 -0.7 1,833 -2,281 7,425 9,706
Wilson 75,760 77,288 1,528 2 1,625 -97 9,965 10,062
Yadkin 37,002 36,993 -9 0 1,133 -1,142 4,283 5,425
Yancey 18,328 18,165 -163 -0.9 789 -952 1,899 2,851
State 11,625,716 12,817,720 1,192,004 10.3 1,135,560 56,444 1,436,669 1,380,225
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